Electric Cars and the Future of the Gas Tax

GM’s highly publicized claim to triple-digit fuel efficiency for its new Chevy Volt has sparked a debate over the solidity of the estimate as well as the lack of
charging stations where non-garage-owners could charge a Volt. But
another byproduct of the rise of electric vehicles is getting less
attention: its effect on the nation’s transportation funding crisis.

charging_station_small.jpgAn electric-car charging station. (Photo: Earth2Tech)

The Obama administration remains opposed to increasing the 18.4-cent per-gallon federal gas tax, leaving legislators rudderless as they aim for hundreds of billions of dollars in new infrastructure investments.

Yet if electric cars become the phenomenon that the White House and GM are hoping for, the gas tax’s already waning power to raise revenue would wither even more rapidly.

The question would then be, as University of Minnesota transportation expert Lee Munnich put it to the Pioneer Press this week, "If everybody is driving electric cars, who would pay for the system?"

A research team from the university tackled that question in a report
to the Minnesota legislature last month that pinpointed eight possible
ways to fund transportation based on the theory of "value capture" –
namely, that building new roads and transit tends to increase the value
of nearby land, providing an economic opportunity to leverage that
increased wealth for the benefit of the whole system.

The
Minnesota report did not endorse any one of the eight, nor did it
ignore the potential political and social shortcomings of "value
capture." But the report’s authors noted that their approach could
provide a middle ground between directly charging users of
transportation networks and imposing across-the-board taxes on
non-users:

["Value capture" methods] target a
restricted set of indirect beneficiaries: landowners and developers who
benefit from the increased land value that follows a transportation
improvement.

If the Obama administration’s
electric-vehicle push forces policymakers to quickly look to a
vehicle-miles-traveled tax or "value capture," would the gas tax then
slide into limbo? Auto industry CEOs hope not; several have openly
called for higher gas taxes to help push consumers into new electric
cars.

Mike Jackson, CEO of the car-sales site AutoNation, told CNBC
earlier this year that the Volt and other electric vehicles could not
be viable without higher gas taxes. Similar sentiments have come from
the chiefs of Hyundai and Ford as well as the former head of GM.

It
remains to be seen whether electric cars’ pressure on the gas tax
becomes a political factor as lawmakers debate the next long-term
transportation bill. To some degree, that pressure is already being
exerted by Americans’ move toward less driving and more fuel-efficient vehicles.

But if electric transportation stays top-of-mind at the White House — which threw its weight behind a "cash for clunkers" plan that one of its own officials admitted
looked more like "clunkers for clunkers" — it’s worth asking whether
there’s a corresponding plan to generate significant new revenue for
infrastructure.